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The value of global modelling has been severely restricted by poor appreciation of the constraints under which governments and politicians operate. E… - Eduard Pestel
" "The value of global modelling has been severely restricted by poor appreciation of the constraints under which governments and politicians operate. Equally, the value of governments and politicians has been severely restricted by largely ignoring the very real but less immediate problems tackled by modellers.
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About Eduard Pestel
Eduard Pestel (29 May 1914 – 19 September 1988) was a German engineer, professor of mechanics and politician.
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Alternative Names:
Eduard Kurt Christian Pestel
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Our world model was built specifically to investigate five major trends of global concern – accelerating industrialization, rapid population growth, widespread malnutrition, depletion of nonrenewable resources, and a deteriorating environment. The model we have constructed is, like every model, imperfect, oversimplified, and unfinished... Our conclusions are : (1.) If the present growth trends in world population, industrialization, pollution, food production, and resource depletion continue unchanged, the limits to growth on this planet will be reached sometime within the next one hundred years. The most probable result will be a rather sudden and uncontrollable decline in both population and industrial capacity...
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