It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong. - Warren Buffett

Stop trying to predict the direction of the stock market, the economy, interest rates, or elections.

Over the years, Charlie [Munger, Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman] and I have observed many accounting-based frauds of staggering size. Few of the perpetrators have been punished; many have not even been censured. It has been far safer to steal large sums with pen than small sums with a gun.

You know ... you keep doing the same things and you keep getting the same result over and over again.