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" "The economists would say that it is the upward "Secular Trend" that favors common stocks as opposed to bonds, so long as the population and the business of the country are increasing. There is something more than growth of population that contributes to the rise in the "Secular Trend" and the increase in business from decade to decade. It is the constantly accelerating speed of modern life. All of our activities are on a much more rapid basis to-day than they were twenty years ago, due in part to the constant increase in the speed of communication and transportation and the countless major and minor time-saving devices that have been introduced into our business and private life.
Edgar Lawrence Smith (May 6, 1882 – June 19, 1971) was an American economist, investment banker, and author.
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It is assumed that the reader is familiar with some, at least, of the various conceptions of the business cycle currently discussed by economists. These are summarized, in greater detail than is necessary for our present purposes, in Mitchell's "Business Cycles, The Problem and the Setting" (1927), and King's "The Cause of Economic Fluctuations" (1938); the latter being noteworthy for its sympathetic reference to those who have found it necessary to push their search for the underlying causes of business cycles beyond the limits customarily regarded as the boundaries of the economic field.
"Safety of principal," yes—that is the first essential. But what is "principal"—is it merely the obligation of some sound organization to repay a certain number of fluctuating measures of value at a future date? What if, at the date of repayment, the measure has shrunk to one-half of its present size? Has the principal been safeguarded?