Having a gap between what you can technically endure versus… - Morgan Housel

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Having a gap between what you can technically endure versus what’s emotionally possible is an overlooked version of room for error.

Morgan Housel

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Psychologist Philip Tetlock once wrote: “We need to believe we live in a predictable, controllable world, so we turn to authoritative-sounding people who promise to satisfy that need.

When thinking about room for error in a forecast it is tempting to think that potential outcomes range from you being just right enough to you being very, very right.

Another is that pessimists often extrapolate present trends without accounting for how markets adapt.

Having a gap between what you can technically endure versus what’s emotionally possible is an overlooked version of room for error. - Morgan Housel

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