AI doesn’t do it end-to-end. It does it middle-to-middle. The new bottlenecks are prompting and verifying. - Balaji Srinivasan

The Industrial Revolution improved everyone’s life, in the long run.

But in the medium run, it caused the rise of communism, the murder of capitalists, and the advent of world war. Technological advance caused political chaos.

Then again, would you prefer no electricity?

If you can do it from scratch, you can take shortcuts.

But if you can only take shortcuts, you can’t do it from scratch.

If your manufacturing is not price-competitive abroad, your military is not price-competitive abroad.

Because the wartime economy is just a subset of the peacetime economy. You can only turn plowshares into swords if you’re cranking out plowshares at low cost and high quality.