This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that th… - Peter Turchin

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This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that the 2010–2020 decade would likely be a period of growing instability in the United States and Western Europe...

Peter Turchin

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About Peter Turchin

Peter Valentinovich Turchin (born 22 May 1957) is a Russian-American complexity scientist, specializing in an area of study he and his colleagues developed called —mathematical modeling and statistical analysis of the dynamics of historical societies. He is currently Editor-in-Chief at Cliodynamics: The Journal of Quantitative History and Cultural Evolution. As of 2020, he is a director of the .

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Alternative Names: P Turchin • Peter Valentinovich Turchin

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[E]ssentially the effect of increasing the number of wealth holders is translated into increased competition for political positions.

Not all of these candidates are wealthy in their own right. Many of the newly wealthy... instead of running themselves... fund other individuals.

A group consisting entirely of self-regarding agents will never be able to cooperate. So cooperation is possible only if some agents are motivated by ‘extra-rational’ prosocial norms, including the norm of moralistic punishment.

This article revisits the prediction, made in 2010, that the 2010–2020 decade would likely be a period of growing instability in the United States an… - Peter Turchin

About Peter Turchin

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