The experience I've had for my whole career, and certainly the whole time at Anthropic, is that there's this kind of smooth exponential. And the expe… - Dario Amodei

The figure I most identified with was Leo Szilard, who was the one who first had the idea that there could be a chain reaction. My view is we're not going to get through this with larger-than-life personalities, or figures who try to be at the center of everything. In some ways I actually see Oppenheimer as a failure case — as what should not happen. There are a lot of powerful actors who have interests here, and the only way it's going to end well for everyone is if there are checks and balances everywhere.

You can't stop the [AI] train. But what you can do is you can steer the train — steer the train so that it doesn't hit the rocks.

I would guess that the software industry gets not smaller, although there will be some big losers — those who don't see what's coming, who don't identify the moats they have.