... uses the methods of data science, treating the historical record... as Big Data. It employs mathematical models to trace the intricate web of int… - Peter Turchin

[W]e need to translate the general theory into a specific computational model tailored to the focal state. Over the past four decades this has been accomplished for... historical case-studies, ranging from Ancient empires to Early Modern states and nineteenth century’s revolutions and civil wars.

SDT can be... an explicit computational model capable of forecasting future... social unrest and political violence in specific social systems.

[T]his is , and it posits several forces that drive social instability and political violence. ...I'll focus on two main ones. ...First ... potential ...based on popular immiseration resulting from the decreased living standards for the majority of the population... This is a fairly obvious effect of growing inequality... Since the days of Malthus this... force has been much in discussion.