Prediction requires knowing about technologies that will be… - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Prediction requires knowing about technologies that will be discovered in the future. But that very knowledge would almost automatically allow us to start developing those technologies right away. Ergo, we do not know what we will know.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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About Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1 January 1960 in Amioun, Lebanon) is an essayist, epistemologist, researcher, and former practitioner of mathematical finance.

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Alternative Names: Nassim Taleb

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Robert A. Heinlein Isaac Asimov Mark Twain George Bernard Shaw Cory Doctorow

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But never engage in detailed overexplanations of why something is important: one debases a principle by endlessly justifying it.

Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire. Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them, not hide from them. You want to be the fire and wish for the wind.

Never ask anyone for their opinion, forecast, or recommendation. Just ask them what they have—or don't have—in their portfolio.

Prediction requires knowing about technologies that will be discovered in the future. But that very knowledge would almost automatically allow us to … - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

About Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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