Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful. - George E. P. Box

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Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful.

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About George E. P. Box

George Edward Pelham Box (October 18, 1919 – March 28, 2013) was a British mathematician and professor of statistics at the University of Wisconsin, and a pioneer in the areas of quality control, , design of experiments and . He was the son-in-law of Sir Ronald Fisher.

Also Known As

Birth Name: George Edward Pelham Box
Alternative Names: George Box G. E. P. Box
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Since all models are wrong the scientist cannot obtain a "correct" one by excessive elaboration. On the contrary following William of Occam he should seek an economical description of natural phenomena. Just as the ability to devise simple but evocative models is the signature of the great scientist so overelaboration and overparameterization is often the mark of mediocrity.

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We have a large reservoir of engineers (and scientists) with a vast background of engineering know how. They need to learn statistical methods that can tap into the knowledge. Statistics used as a catalyst to engineering creation will, I believe, always result in the fastest and most economical progress…

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