Someone who says “I am busy” is either declaring incompetence (and lack of control of his life) or trying to get rid of you. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Cumulative errors depend largely on the big surprises, the big opportunities. Not only do economic, financial, and political predictors miss them, but they are quite ashamed to say anything outlandish to their clients — and yet events, it turns out, are almost always outlandish.

A competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying hard to become an animal rather than a man, he will never be as fast as a cheetah or as strong as an ox.

Truth is in the extremes. There is no noise in the far tails.