Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

To understand the future, you do not need technoautistic jargon, obsession with “killer apps,” these sort of things. You just need the following: some respect for the past, some curiosity about the historical record, a hunger for the wisdom of the elders, and a grasp of the notion of “heuristics,” these often unwritten rules of thumb that are so determining of survival. In other words, you will be forced to give weight to things that have been around, things that have survived.

You can change the mind of someone who says "no"; never the minds of those who say nothing.

Mental clarity is the child of courage, not the other way around.