This idea that in order to make a decision you need to focus on the consequences (which you can know) rather than the probability (which you can’t kn… - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

In order to make a decision you need to focus on the consequences (which you can know) rather than the probability (which you can't know) is the central idea of uncertainty.

I then completely gave up reading newspapers and watching television, which freed up a considerable amount of time (say one hour or more a day, enough time to read more than a hundred additional books per year, which, after a couple of decades, starts mounting).

randomness in the end is just unknowledge. the world is opaque and appearances fool us

Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.