“Do not mistake a confident explanation for an accurate pre… - James Clear

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“Do not mistake a confident explanation for an accurate prediction.

An engineer can predict how much weight a steel bridge will hold and you can be quite sure reality will match their calculation. That's an accurate prediction.

Meanwhile, strongly held opinions about what will happen in markets or sports or politics have little predictive power. A lot of what you hear can be summarized as: confident, but inaccurate.”

(Inspired by a recent conversation with Morgan Housel.)

James Clear

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About James Clear

James Clear (born 1986) is an American writer and public speaker known for Self-improvement.

Biography information from Wikiquote

All quotes from James Clear Similar Quotes by other Originators

Originators like James Clear:

B. J. Fogg Darren Hardy Benjamin P. Hardy Jim Rohn Gary W. Keller

Additional quotes by James Clear

If you're not working hard, ideas don’t matter. The best idea is worthless without execution.

If you're already working hard, ideas are crucial. Most effort is wasted on mediocre ideas.

When working with people, assume good intentions.

When listening to people, interpret their words in a generous way.

You will occasionally get burned and mistreated by always assuming the best in others, but it is a far better way to live than the opposite.

You can't make time go faster or success come sooner. The only thing you can control is the next action.

“Do not mistake a confident explanation for an accurate prediction. An engineer can predict how much weight a steel bridge will hold and you can be … - James Clear

About James Clear

Additional quotes by James Clear