How often have you arrived one, three, or six hours late on a transatlantic 􀀸ight as opposed to one, three, or six hours early? This explains why def… - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

I have organized my career and business in such a way as to... benefit... I am profiting from the rare event, with asymmetric bets.

Someone with a high public presence who is controversial and takes risks for his opinion is less likely to be a bullshit vendor.

Beware the confusion between correctness and intelligibility. Part of conventional wisdom favors things that can be explained rather instantly and “in a nutshell” — in many circles it is considered law. Having attended a French elementary school, a lycée primaire, I was trained to rehash Boileau’s adage: Ce qui se conçoit bien s’énonce clairement Et les mots pour le dire viennent aisément What is easy to conceive is clear to express / Words to say it would come effortlessly.