The IYI subscribes to The New Yorker, a journal designed so philistines can learn to fake a conversation about evolution, neurosomething, cognitive b… - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Forecasting by bureaucrats tends to be used for anxiety relief rather than for adequate policy making.

Mild success can be explainable by skills and labor. Wild success is attributable to variance.

I once procrastinated and kept delaying a spinal cord operation as a response to a back injury — and was completely cured of the back problem after a hiking vacation in the Alps, followed by weight-lifting sessions. These psychologists and economists want me to kill my naturalistic instinct (the inner b****t detector) that allowed me to delay the elective operation and minimize the risks — an insult to the antifragility of our bodies.