Life would be unbearably bland if we had no enemies on whom to waste efforts and energy. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

I am not here to live forever, as a sick animal. Recall that the antifragility of a system comes from the mortality of its components — and I am part of that larger population called humans. I am here to die a heroic death for the sake of the collective, to produce offspring (and prepare them for life and provide for them), or eventually, books — my information, that is, my genes, the antifragile in me, should be the ones seeking immortality, not me.

You cannot do statistics without logic. Otherwise you become a data fraud, or, worse, an economist.

The major problem with inference... is that those whose profession it is to derive conclusions from data often fall into the trap faster and more confidently... The more data we have, the more likely we are to drown in it. For common wisdom... is to base... decision making on the following principle: It is very unlikely for someone to perform... well in a consistent fashion without doing something right. ...[I]f someone performed better... in the past then there is a great[er] chance of performing better than the crowd in the future... But... [a] small knowledge of probability can lead to worse results than no knowledge at all.