Doctors most commonly get mixed up between absence of evidence and evidence of absence. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

"I will set aside the point that I see no special heroism in accumulating money, particularly if, in addition, the person is foolish enough to not even try to derive any tangible benefit from the wealth (aside from the pleasure of regularly counting the beans)." - N.N.Taleb

A good predictor is someone who knows *what* to predict.

Don’t talk about “progress” in terms of longevity, safety, or comfort before comparing zoo animals to those in the wilderness.