People who are bred, selected, and compensated to find complicated solutions do not have an incentive to implement simplified ones. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We end up populating what we call the intelligentsia with people who are delusional, literally mentally deranged, simply because they never have to pay for the consequences of their actions, repeating moderniest slogans stripped of all depth...The principle of intervention, like that of healers, is first do not harm; even more we will argue, those who don't take risks should never be involved in decision making (p.10).

Their three flaws 1) they think in statics not dynamics 2) they think in low, not high dimensions 3) they think in terms of actions, never interactions....The first flaw is they are incapable in thinking in second steps and unaware of the need of them...The second flaw is that they are also incapable of distinguishing between multidimensional problems and their single dimensional representations. The third flaw is they can't forecast the evolution of those one helps by attaching, or the magnification one gets from feedback. (p.9)

How often have you arrived one, three, or six hours late on a transatlantic 􀀸ight as opposed to one, three, or six hours early? This explains why deficits tend to be larger, rarely smaller, than planned.

What works on a small scale almost NEVER expands to large scale.