The promise of this book is that if we follow the example of poker players by making explicit that our decisions are bets, we can make better decisio… - Annie Duke

Dan Kahan's work on motivated reasoning also indicates that smart people are not better equipped to combat bias — and may even be more susceptible.

That's the way that we need to think too. When we find something that's working for us, whether it's a job, a career, a product that we're developing, a business strategy, or even a favorite restaurant that we love going to, continuing to explore what other options might be available is a good strategy in a world as uncertain as the one that we live in. Never stop exploring.

Making better decisions starts with understanding this: uncertainty can work a lot of mischief.