In most of our decisions, we are not betting against another person. Rather, we are betting against all the future versions of ourselves that we are … - Annie Duke

What I've generally found is that two people whose positions on an issue are far apart will move toward the middle after a debate or skilled explanation of the opposing position. Engaging in this type of exchange creates an understanding of and appreciation for other points of view much deeper and more powerful than just listening to the other perspective. Ultimately, it gives us a deeper understanding of our own position.

Here's a secret: All guesses are educated guesses because there is almost no estimate you could make about which you literally know nothing.

The lesson here is that we shouldn't wait to be forced to find a Plan B. We should always be doing some exploration, especially because sometimes Plan B can turn out to be better than the thing you're already pursuing.