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" "Prediction: software development will closely resemble the evolution of self-driving cars.
- Considered for many years intractable, now run of the mill for a large subset of rides (robotaxi), all mobility within sight.
- The key metric to watch is disengagement rate (i.e.: how frequently the human operator needs total take over coding :: driving).
- Occasional human takeover and steering still needed (remote takeover) to get the program “unstuck” or figure out dilemmas.
- Success is predicated on the successful interoperability with the existing environment and tools (existing programming languages, runtimes, frameworks :: streets, signs, pedestrians), rather than resetting the landscape.
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I’m convinced the gap in experience between a native mobile app and a mobile web app boils down primarily to user input at this point.
The performance gap is illusory for most use-cases & devices. Safari iOS handling of how a keyboard displays, the havoc it wreaks on the page, and limited APIs to control it are a fundamental issue.
Once 120fps animations are enabled by default that’ll be the icing on the cake. But any diminishment in the ability for a human to reliably enter information into the page is a deal breaker.
Works in ChatGPT, Claude, or Any AI
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