The quality of the outcome casts a shadow over our ability to see the quality of the decision. - Annie Duke

We process outcomes sequentially, treating each outcome as if it stands alone. We don't sit back and wait to update our beliefs until we have enough data to overcome the uncertain relationship between outcomes and decisions.

That's the way that we need to think too. When we find something that's working for us, whether it's a job, a career, a product that we're developing, a business strategy, or even a favorite restaurant that we love going to, continuing to explore what other options might be available is a good strategy in a world as uncertain as the one that we live in. Never stop exploring.

When someone asks you about a coin they flipped four times, there is a correct answer: "I'm not sure."