This difference is key. Thinking in probabilities — this business has a 60 percent chance of success — rather than deterministically — if I do A and … - Peter Diamandis
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This difference is key. Thinking in probabilities — this business has a 60 percent chance of success — rather than deterministically — if I do A and B, then C will definitely happen — doesn’t just guard against oversimplification; it further protects against the brain’s inherent laziness.
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About
Peter Diamandis
Peter H. Diamandis (born May 20, 1961) is an American engineer, physician, and entrepreneur. He is best known as the founder and chairman of the XPRIZE Foundation, and the cofounder and executive chairman of Singularity University. He is also cofounder and former CEO of the Zero Gravity Corporation, cofounder and vice chairman of Space Adventures Ltd., founder and chairman of the Rocket Racing League, cofounder of the International Space University, cofounder of Planetary Resources, cofounder of Celularity, founder of Students for the Exploration and Development of Space, and vice chairman and cofounder of Human Longevity, Inc.
The thing nobody tells you about exponential change is that it feels like nothing is happening right up until the moment everything happens at once.
In a world without constraints, most people take their time on projects and assume far fewer risks, while spending as much money as you’ll give them. They try to reach their goals in comfortable and conservative ways — which, of course, leads nowhere new.
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Information is our latest, our brightest, commodity. “In a world of material goods and material exchange, trade is a zero-sum game,” says inventor Dean Kamen. “I’ve got a hunk of gold and you have a watch. If we trade, then I have a watch and you have a hunk of gold. But if you have an idea and I have an idea, and we exchange them, then we both have two ideas. It’s nonzero.
