The decision you make determines which set of outcomes are possible and how likely each of those outcomes is. But it doesn't determine which of that … - Annie Duke

But for so many of us, that fear of falling short makes us not want to start. As Richard Thaler quipped, "If a gold medal in the Olympics is the only grade that passes, you do not want to ever take your first gymnastics class."

There's a name for this: Resulting. When people result, they look at whether the result was good or bad to figure out if the decision was good or bad. (Psychologists

Our traditional view of betting is very narrow: casinos, sporting events, lottery tickets, wagering against someone else on the chance of a favorable outcome of some event. The definition of "bet" is much broader. Merriam-Webster's Online Dictionary defines "bet" as "a choice made by thinking about what will probably happen," "to risk losing (something) when you try to do or achieve something" and "to make decisions that are based on the belief that something will happen or is true." I have emphasized the broader, often overlooked, aspects of betting: choice, probability, risk, decision, belief. We can also see from this definition that betting doesn't have to take place in a casino or against somebody else.