The experiencing self does not have a voice. The remembering self is sometimes wrong, but it is the one that keeps score and governs what we learn fr… - Daniel Kahneman

To derive the most useful information from multiple sources of evidence, you should always try to make these sources independent of each other.

My advice to students when I taught negotiations was that if you think the other side has made an outrageous proposal, you should not come back with an equally outrageous counteroffer, creating a gap that will be difficult to bridge in further negotiations. Instead you should make a scene, storm out or threaten to do so, and make it clear — to yourself as well as to the other side — that you will not continue the negotiation with that number on the table.

We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events.