We would be better served as communicators and decision-makers if we thought less about whether we are confident in our beliefs and more about how co… - Annie Duke

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We would be better served as communicators and decision-makers if we thought less about whether we are confident in our beliefs and more about how confident we are. Instead of thinking of confidence as all-or-nothing ("I'm confident" or "I'm not confident"), our expression of our confidence would then capture all the shades of grey in between.

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Birth Name: Anne LaBarr Lederer
Alternative Names: Anne LaBarr Duke Annie Lederer Anne Lederer
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For reasons that are going to become clear, a good decision tool seeks to reduce the role of cognitive bias (such as overconfidence, hindsight bias, or confirmation bias) and a pros and cons list tends to amplify the role of bias.

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