This is why, according to Yale's Richard Foster, 40 percent of today's Fortune 500 companies will be gone in ten years, replaced, - Peter Diamandis

5x5x5 Rapid Innovation Method, a very concrete way of putting Shiv’s notion into practice. “The idea is fairly simple and straightforward,” he says. “A company looking to drive breakthroughs in a particular area sets up five teams of five people and gives each team five days to come up with a portfolio of five ‘business experiments’ that should take no longer than five weeks to run and cost no more than five thousand dollars each to conduct.

The Law of Accelerating Returns,” Ray Kurzweil did the math and found that we’re going to experience twenty thousand years of technological change over the next one hundred years. Essentially, we’re going from the birth of agriculture to the birth of the internet twice in the next century. This means paradigm-shifting, game-changing, nothing-is-ever-the-same-again breakthroughs — such as affordable aerial ridesharing — will not be an occasional affair. They’ll be happening all the time.

Wright's Law > Moore's Law.
Stop making time-based predictions. Start making unit-based ones.
For every cumulative doubling in production, costs fall at a consistent rate. Reusable rockets. Industrial robots. Solar panels. Batteries.
This is the formula that predicts the future.