In advance of the class, he asked students to fill in a quick survey in which he asked them to describe their own experiences with one of these three… - David Franklin

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In advance of the class, he asked students to fill in a quick survey in which he asked them to describe their own experiences with one of these three uses of statistics. He tells the students that he has read their answers, as well as their student profiles, and asks for volunteers to talk about what they wrote. Several hands go up, and he picks Juliana, a student from Brazil, interested in education. She starts to talk about a program she helped to run in Brazil which assessed whether improvements in teacher training had a causal effect on test scores. As she is talking, her words appear on the big screen, in big quotation marks, along with her photo. The class laughs, and as she looks up she realises she has become a celebrity.

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About David Franklin

David Franklin is an art historian with expertise in Italian Renaissance art, a curator, and a former art museum director.

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I guess… it was just a shocking event. We’re not used to someone like him being President.” Here, the student reveals an availability bias in which we expect future outcomes to look like what has gone before.

The students are asked to rate their level of surprise on a five-point scale from ‘not surprised at all’ to ‘beyond shock’. Many describe feelings of total shock and numbness: a large majority indicate some level of surprise. He asks them: “Why were you surprised?

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In Dan’s case, the interest in policymaking is so central to the students’ presence at Harvard that it would be foolish to run a statistics course that did not acknowledge it. He goes as far as to build this into the purpose of the course: as we heard earlier, his purpose is “not just to maximise learning about statistics, but also to maximise learning of the skills that will be useful to have out there in the world.

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