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Moonshots, by their definition, live in that gray area between audacious projects and pure science fiction. Instead of mere 10 percent gains, they aim for 10x (meaning ten times) improvements — that's a 1000 percent increase in performance.

As Microsoft cofounder Bill Gates pointed out in his recent talk on the subject: "The key thing you can do to reduce population growth is actually improve health. … [T]here is a perfect correlation, as you improve health, within half a generation, the population growth rate goes down."

industrialized educational system designed to produce a standardized product. Heralded by the bell, students moved from one “learning station” to the next, while standardized tests ensured quality control — young minds well prepared for the needs of society. What were those needs? Back then, obedient factory workers.

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We are entering a trillion-sensor economy, and the truth is society will give up unforeseen amounts of data to AI to make them smarter, healthier, and more powerful. 

Privacy is dead, but in exchange, we get hyperpersonalized systems that understand us like nothing else.

The era of garage biology is upon us. Want to participate? Take a moment to buy yourself a molecular biology lab on eBay. A mere $1,000 will get you a set of precision pipettors for handling liquids and an electrophoresis rig for analyzing DNA. Side trips to sites like BestUse and LabX (two of my favorites) may be required to round out your purchases with graduated cylinders or a PCR thermocycler for amplifying DNA. If you can’t afford a particular gizmo, just wait six months — the supply of used laboratory gear only gets better with time. Links to sought-after reagents and protocols can be found at DNAHack. And, of course, Google is no end of help.

According to Travis Bradford, chief operating officer of the Carbon War Room and president of the Prometheus Institute for Sustainable Development, solar prices are falling 5 percent to 6 percent annually, and capacity is growing at a rate of 30 percent per year. So when critics point out that solar currently accounts for 1 percent of our energy, that’s linear thinking in an exponential world. Expanding today’s 1 percent penetration at an annual growth of 30 percent puts us eighteen years away from meeting 100 percent of our energy needs with solar.

Take the New York–based Lemonade, arguably the best funded of today's crowdsurance startups. Via an app, Lemonade brings together small groups of policyholders who pay premiums into a central "claim pool." Artificial intelligence does the rest. The entire experience is mobile, simple, and fast. Ninety seconds to get insured, three minutes to get a claim paid, and zero paperwork. Adding more technology to this arrangement, companies like the Swiss firm Etherisc sell "bespoke insurance products" on the Ethereum blockchain. Because smart contracts remove the need for employees, paperwork, and all the rest, all sorts of new insurance products are being created. Etherisc's first offering is something not covered by traditional insurers: flight delays and cancellations. Individuals sign up via credit card, and if their plane is more than forty-five minutes late, they're paid instantly, automatically, and without the need for any paperwork.

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The first real threat it faced, today's ridesharing model, only showed up in the last decade. But that ridesharing model won't even get ten years to dominate. Already, it's on the brink of autonomous car displacement, which is on the brink of flying car disruption, which is on the brink of Hyperloop and rockets-to-anywhere decimation. Plus, avatars. The most important part: All of this change will happen over the next ten years.