founder and CEO of Vercel
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We will see within our lifetime the rise of young supergeniuses that far surpass previous generations in both intellect and demonstrable accomplishments.
With AI, anyone can self-teach any concept, science, discipline. Agents can implement and give the individual the power of a large team. It’s gonna be fun to watch the dramatic acceleration of human potential.
Prediction: software development will closely resemble the evolution of self-driving cars.
- Considered for many years intractable, now run of the mill for a large subset of rides (robotaxi), all mobility within sight.
- The key metric to watch is disengagement rate (i.e.: how frequently the human operator needs total take over coding :: driving).
- Occasional human takeover and steering still needed (remote takeover) to get the program “unstuck” or figure out dilemmas.
- Success is predicated on the successful interoperability with the existing environment and tools (existing programming languages, runtimes, frameworks :: streets, signs, pedestrians), rather than resetting the landscape.